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Delhi's 2026 EV policy could reshape India's auto sector, warns Morgan Stanley

Morgan Stanley has cautioned that Delhi's new Electric Vehicle Policy, aiming to eliminate internal combustion engine vehicles by 2027-28, might impact other states across India. With Rs 150 billion in incentives and a target of 30% electric school buses by March 2030, this policy could bring substantial changes to the automobile sector.

BRIC Team
BRIC Team
Jul 3, 2026 · 1 min read · 2 views
Delhi's 2026 EV policy could reshape India's auto sector, warns Morgan Stanley

Key Takeaways

  • Delhi's Electric Vehicle Policy will ban new registrations for ICE two-wheelers and three-wheelers by 2027-28.
  • The policy mandates that 30% of school bus fleets be electric by March 2030.
  • Morgan Stanley highlights that Delhi's policy could influence other states, despite its limited immediate impact on auto manufacturers.
  • Fresh registrations for electric-only three-wheelers will start on January 1, 2027, transitioning to electric two-wheelers by April 1, 2028.
  • The initiative includes Rs 150 billion in financial incentives and plans for 32,000 charging stations in the capital.

Morgan Stanley raises alarm over Delhi's Electric Vehicle Policy,which might become a blueprint for Indian states,shaking up auto sector . Policy aims to fast-track cleaner mobility,setting deadlines for phasing out internal combustion engine vehicles in certain categories.

Starting 2026,policy bans new ICE two-wheelers,three-wheelers,and sub-3.5-tonne vehicles by 2027-28 . Also targets 30% electric school buses by March 2030. Backed by Rs 150 billion in financial incentives,plans include 32,000 charging stations in capital.

Despite bold targets,immediate hit on auto makers seems limited since Delhi's slice of sales pie is small. Buyers can just hop to nearby states to purchase vehicles,softening blow to OEMs. Morgan Stanley warns while impact now seems minor,the danger is in other states copying policy.

Resistance from manufacturers and dealers likely,especially in motorcycle market,where electric options still emerging. Report notes Chandigarh's earlier ICE two-wheeler ban delayed by industry backlash. Companies like Hero MotoCorp,Bajaj Auto,and TVS Motor better equipped to pivot,thanks to their electric vehicle lines. For Eicher Motors,success of its new electric bike crucial amid regulatory shifts .

Air pollution is urgent problem,but Morgan Stanley suggests better solution: faster scrappage of old vehicles across board. Report also highlights need for local battery cell production to boost India's energy security as EVs gain ground.

Policy's phased ICE vehicle phase-out marks big change in India's auto world. Electric-only three-wheelers and sub-3.5-tonne commercial vehicles start registering January 1,2027,new two-wheeler registrations go electric April 1,2028. Lays clear route for capital's transport future .

Auto industry braces for impact as Delhi's policy might echo beyond its borders. Could force sector-wide strategy rethink. Will other states jump on bandwagon?

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