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Chinese EV exports rise as banks forecast growth in Western Europe

Chinese electric vehicle manufacturers saw exports surge by 63 percent year-on-year in Q1 2026. In response, Goldman Sachs has updated its forecasts for passenger vehicle exports. The bank now expects exports to climb from 7.8 million units in 2026 to 10 million by 2030, aiming for a 17 percent share of global sales.

BRIC Team
BRIC Team
Jun 26, 2026 · 1 min read · 10 views
Chinese EV exports rise as banks forecast growth in Western Europe

Key Takeaways

  • Chinese electric vehicle exports surged by 63 percent year-on-year in Q1 2026, reflecting strong global demand.
  • Goldman Sachs predicts China’s passenger vehicle exports will rise from 7.8 million in 2026 to 10 million by 2030.
  • By 2030, Chinese-branded vehicles are projected to capture 17 percent of global sales, excluding the domestic market and the U.S.
  • Last year, Chinese EV manufacturers sold around 1 million vehicles in western Europe, solidifying their market presence.

Chinese electric vehicle makers are expanding into global markets,banks like Goldman Sachs are raising export forecasts to match. Global demand for EVs is helping these firms offset slumping domestic sales. Analysts see tough times ahead for big names like BYD and Xpeng though.

China’s new-energy vehicle exports jumped 63% year-on-year in first quarter of 2026. More competitive models are driving this growth. The bank revised forecasts for China’s passenger vehicle exports, now seeing rise of 6 to 11% between 2026 and 2030 . Exports expected to climb from 7.8 million units in 2026 to 10 million by 2030 .

Outside China and U.S.,Chinese brands may grab 17% of global sales by 2030. Last year,about 1 million vehicles sold in western Europe alone,cementing their position in this important market…

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